Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.175207 0.197004 0.219839 0.245492 0.273448 0.302936 0.336333
2025-03-02 0.143791 0.172958 0.205096 0.242942 0.286093 0.333559 0.389516
2025-03-09 0.122373 0.156177 0.195086 0.242772 0.299210 0.363439 0.441602
2025-03-16 0.105180 0.141780 0.185619 0.241298 0.309383 0.389168 0.488911
2025-03-23 0.094556 0.133840 0.182579 0.246424 0.326699 0.423106 0.546345
2025-03-30 0.083712 0.124262 0.176304 0.246499 0.337083 0.448353 0.593503
2025-04-06 0.074505 0.115748 0.170406 0.246171 0.346304 0.471853 0.638637
2025-04-13 0.066730 0.108312 0.165129 0.245928 0.355103 0.494579 0.682948
2025-04-20 0.060742 0.102745 0.161797 0.247775 0.366304 0.520308 0.731378
2025-04-27 0.056998 0.100049 0.162129 0.254406 0.383857 0.554513 0.791362
2025-05-04 0.052368 0.095534 0.159432 0.256434 0.394932 0.580184 0.840522
2025-05-11 0.048482 0.091785 0.157505 0.259276 0.406987 0.607239 0.891900
2025-05-18 0.046336 0.090833 0.159955 0.268970 0.429589 0.650009 0.966594
2025-05-25 0.041546 0.085038 0.154557 0.266663 0.434840 0.669010 1.009486
2025-06-01 0.037785 0.080604 0.150928 0.266715 0.443342 0.692581 1.059038
2025-06-08 0.034114 0.075935 0.146542 0.265255 0.449382 0.712657 1.104021
2025-06-15 0.032136 0.074142 0.146711 0.270848 0.466024 0.748101 1.171142
2025-06-22 0.029373 0.070572 0.143610 0.270968 0.474229 0.771450 1.221517
2025-06-29 0.026804 0.067092 0.140385 0.270635 0.481583 0.793579 1.270441
2025-07-06 0.024494 0.063868 0.137353 0.270385 0.488925 0.815714 1.319661
2025-07-13 0.022716 0.061544 0.135746 0.272381 0.499764 0.843164 1.376997
2025-07-20 0.021774 0.060902 0.137153 0.279528 0.518964 0.883474 1.453794
2025-07-27 0.020264 0.058845 0.135765 0.281714 0.530141 0.911812 1.513384